STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF RECORDED BIRTH IN NASARAWA, A CASE STUDY OF NASARAWA LOCAL GOVERNMENT COUNCIL FROM 2006-2016

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STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF RECORDED BIRTH IN NASARAWA, A CASE STUDY OF NASARAWA LOCAL GOVERNMENT COUNCIL FROM 2006-2016

ABSTRACT

This project is aimed at presenting statistical analysis on recorded birth in Nasarawa Local government Council from 2006 – 2016 and to bring light through the analysis, the importance of checking the trend of Birth in Nasarawa L.G.C. the data collected and presented for this study are on bar charts, analyzed using “Time Series” and “Least Square” line to estimate the number of births in Nasarawa L.G.C. in the future and also to analyzed using “T.Test” to find out if there exist significant difference between the male and the female birth in Nasarawa L.G.C. The result for the estimate of birth (male and female) shows that there is increase in the birthrate. Generally, the population of Nasarawa L.G.C is increasing. It is therefore, recommended that publicity on family planning should be made.

CHAPTER ONE

1.1 BACKGROUND OF THE STUDY

There will be no continuation of life if the reproduction class cannot reproduce their like. It is this reproduction that give rise to life continuation in the world known as birth.

Birth could be aid to moan born, coning into the world or product of conception, and when we take of recorded birth, we moan the total number of birth in one year per everyone thousand person.

The trend of child birth in any setup should be checked this is also important because when there is over population, there will be exploitation of resources which in most occasion bring about scarcity and this will mean a set back in the economy.

Recorded birth is a long term determining factors of demographic growth. A link is established between the pattern of growth of the economy and the populations. It is also one of the measurable manifestations of a society’s norms. It reflects social economic ecological and cultural conditions.
Births varies and probably that birth will vary depends in these three reasons.
i) The current process of natural integration
ii) The growing urbanization
iii) Modifications in the geographical distribution of the population.

Nigeria population Bureau (2001) and Nigeria fertility survey (2004/2005) the National Population Commission (NPC) started its vital registration functions in 2003 as an extension office (branch to the zonal office, Keffi).

The commission takes the task of registering births, death, marriage, divorces, immigration etc and these records are kept as health or vital records for statistics. Since then the commission have been doing the registration and awarding certificates to the registered persons.

To compute the reproductive record in Nasarawa voters list from the independent national electoral commission Nasarawa was used to collect an estimate number of women in Nasarawa town.

1.2 STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEM
Since birth is essential in life, there is need to check the record of reproduction among the women. This is so because the rate at which infants are born if not checked, there could be overpopulation with the number of sources that will meet up with the rising population or manpower in the society could be looking when there is a decline in the population.

The focus of this study is therefore, what is the recorded birth of women at the reproductive age (15-44 year) in Nasarawa local council (L.G.C) and what will be the total number of births.

1.3 AIM
The aim of the study is to test for the significant difference between the male and the female in Nasarawa local government council and to determine the trend line for the number of female birth.
OBJECTIVES
1. To test for differences of two mean between the male and the female birth.
2. To forecast for the male and female birth
3. To obtain the trend pattern of the total birth for both male and female

1.4 SIGNIFICANCE OF THE STUDY
The researcher’s work will be of great importance for the researcher, student, Nasarawa state, ministry of health and all other state holders. It will help to know if there is an increase or decrease in the number of birth and it will also create awareness to the Nasarawa L.G.C to find and the everlasting solution to what is causing the decrease or increase on birth (record) in Nasarawa local government council.

1.5 DELIMITATION OF THE STUDY
This protect work covers yearly information in birth record in Nasarawa local government council only for the year 2006-2016 inclusive. And also the statistical analysis is limited to only one variable (Recorded birth in Nasarawa L.G.C) because data on these variables are up to date.

1.6 RESEARCH HYPOTHESIS
Ho: Recorded birth in Nasarawa L.G.C seems to be independent
Hi: Recorded birth in Nasarawa does not seem to be independent

1.7 LIMITATION OF STUDY
The study is limited to Nasarawa L.G.C only due to time contract and difficulty in getting data

1.8 DEFINITION OF TERM
The following words are defined according to the way they are used in this study.
DEMOGRAPHY: A branched of social science moving concerned with the study of human life in relation to birth, deaths, and composition of the population.
DEMOGRAPHERS: Typical professionals in services of tabulating statistics n births, deaths, marriage and migrations etc.
STATISTICS: Act of collecting, organizing, summarizations, presently and analyzing numerical data
RATE: Frequency of an activity in a population with respect to time or standard of calculation to another or it is a special case of ratio.
FACILITY: Is seen as a capacity to bear children.

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